SNIE 2-61, "SOVIET AND OTHER REACTIONS TO VARIOUS COURSES OF ACTION REGARDING B

Created: 6/20/1961

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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Enclosure:

, "Soviet and Other Reactions to Various Courses of Action Regarding Berlin"

Brief ofl

he United States Intelligence Board approved an estimate on "Soviet and Other Reactions to Various Courses of Action Regarding Berlin'*l). rief of this estimate is attached for your information, in advance of the regular distribution which will be forthcoming.

RICHARD COLLINI

COLLINS Major General, USA Director for Intelligence

to: DepSecDef Asst SecDef (ISA) Asst to SecDef (OSO)

OASD(FA) DFOISROP SECRET CONTROL **

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This Special National Intelligence Estimate was approved by the United States Intelligence Board on The principal Judgments In this estimate are:

The Soviets do not Intend to wage general war in order to change the status of Berlin. The Soviet leaders have not yet been perouaded that the United States will go to general war in order tohange In the status of Berlin. If they, were to become convinced that the United States willo to general war over Berlin, they would back off and seekiJ negotiations, providing the United States had left them thisecourse.

The Soviets would oppose the use of substantial forceattempt to restore access to Berlin. In the NATO countries In most non-European countries there would be little public for the more drastic allied responses over Berlinmost European countries, attention would be focusedthe possibility of general war, and this considerationoverride views about the rights and wroruts of the -

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Original document.

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